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April 24, 2015

Bulldog Bloggers Roundtable, Part 3: Defense

Today, we look at our concerns for the defense.

TD

Cam Forte to transfer

Congrats to Cam Forte, who will graduate this summer and transfer to play basketball as a graduate.  Coach Fox has worked hard to make sure his players know that graduation is a key component of playing basketball for him at Georgia, and Cam is a good example.

Good luck, Cam.

TD

April 23, 2015

Bulldog Bloggers Roundtable, part 2

We discuss the receivers.
TD

April 22, 2015

College Football Zealots Bulldog Roundtable

Kevin asked me, Bernie, Blutarsky, and Murray Poole some questions. We answered them. Simple enough.

I'll post all of my responses in one post after he gets all the questions posted. You can read the first question and the responses here.

TD

March 20, 2015

Don't bet against NCAA tourney Tom Izzo

Hey, I laid out how we could win. I always thought we'd lose if we didn't hit the shots from the paint, especially layups.

I'm bummed we lost this game. We fought back against a better, more athletic team. We probably just missed another layup or put back.

Thanks to Neme, Marcus, and Taylor for being Damn Good Dawgs.
TD

March 19, 2015

UGA's chances of winning against Michigan State

As I stated the other day, this is a tough draw for the Dawgs. Michigan State is a 5 seed playing in a 7 seed spot.  That doesn't mean all is lost, but I sure would feel more confident if we drew VCU or Iowa. That being said, I still think we have a legit chance to win.

Michigan State loves to run. Big Ten hoops is predicated on the same type of basketball Fox likes to play. We'll not face the bog down hack and pull we saw against South Carolina/Auburn/Tennessee/Mississippi State. Now, Michigan State loves to run. While our depth concerns me, the one thing that running teams have trouble with is getting back on defense and impatience with teams that like to move the ball around and use the shot clock.

As frustrating as UGA's offense can be, the one huge bonus it gives you is that when you are holding the ball, the other team cannot score. Mark Fox preaches a nearly Norman Dale'esque level of passing pre-shot. There is a method to that madness, especially against a team that would be perfectly happy with a 20 second shot clock.

Related to that is running teams have  tendency to get aggressive on defense at bad times.

Virtually no one beyond Mark Bradley is giving Georgia a chance in this game, for lots of good basketball reasons. Among the reasons they shouldn't discount UGA is #SECbasketballfever, which I believe most of them are. Arkansas is most like Michigan State in the SEC. We've faced that kind of running team in Kentucky (though built very differently). 

If the Spartans put us on the line 20 times, which I think they do, and we hit 70% of our free throws, which I think we will, we win.

Tip is tomorrow at 12:40pm on TruTV.
TD

March 16, 2015

Andy Landers has retired

This year has to have been one of the hardest of his career, with the injuries and promise that was lost due to them.

He ends his career with 944 total wins, 862 of them at UGA. He's taken teams to eight final fours, been in the Sweet 16 in 20 of his 36 season. We are one of only three programs to have never posted a losing season in women's basketball since it became an NCAA sport.

Georgia Sports Blog thanks Coach Landers for all he's done for UGA athletics. He's a Damn Good Dawg that has given his heart and soul to the Bulldogs.

TD

March 15, 2015

UGA gets 10 seed; to face Michigan State in Charlotte

This morning, I pondered us getting a ten seed, noting the upside of us matching up with a seven seed that isn't that much better with us. The one thing I didn't note is that if they underseed that seven....

Which it sure looks like they did. Michigan State finished the B1.5G as the third a conference with seven teams that made the field, and too one seed Wisconsin to OT in the B1.5G championship. To give you an idea, North Carolina and Georgetown both had similar records, RPI profiles, and good wins/bad losses, but are seeded 4th. Our records look the same, both in conference and out of conference, but two things stand way out about Michigan State vis a vis Georgia: how well they've played the past month (7-3, with two of those losses coming to Wisconsin) and how much better their wins look (four over top 50 RPI, including three in those past ten games.

That doesn't mean UGA is doomed, but it does mean we have a much tougher 7 seed in Michigan State than say Iowa or VCU.

UGA faces Michigan State 12:40pm Friday on TruTV.

TD

Dawgs lose to Arky; NCAA Tournament thoughts

Let's get the bad news out of the way, Georgia lost to Arkansas, and badly,  yesterday in the SEC Tournament. We were intentionally playing short handed to get healthy for the NCAA Tournament.

The good news is that we are absolutely in the tournament. I don't see any way Mark Fox would have rested players unless he knew we were already in. So now it's just a question of what seed we will be and where we will be placed.

The tough part is several folks have us last four in, meaning there's a chance we will play in Dayton in a play in game against another 11 seed. For my money, I think we end up at 10 seed.

And I'd much rather be in at 10 rather than at 8 or 9. Your first round game is a 7 seed, which usually means you are likely to play a team that is evenly matched up with you. The other reason is if you win that game, you likely face a two seed in the second round. As an 8/9, you are guaranteed to face a one seed.

The last thing to think about is placement. With Charlotte Jacksonville, and Louisville on the table, Georgia has some pretty good options to get fans, or strong rooting interests, at their site. The best case scenario would be somewhere like Charlotte with Duke as Duke fans will come and root for any underdog. UK fans in Louisville will root for the other SEC teams.

Worst case scenario is Dayton for the play in, then having to play in Seattle in the early game Friday. We'll worry about that after selection, which will be aired at 6pm tonight on CBS.

TD

March 14, 2015

Dawgs down USCe

Strong games from Thornton and Maten lead us to victory over South Carolina (finally). Arkansas is next at 3pm.

The Razorbacks go on stretches where they get cold. We have to play strong perimeter defense and watch the back door cuts, as well as hit free throws, to win. This is a winnable game. Win it and we could slip up to a seven seed in the NCAA Tournament.

ESPN has the game.
TD

March 13, 2015

Dawgs to face South Carolina tonight

Here's hoping the officials hate rugby disguised as basketball as much as I do. We have the latest tip tonight, sometime after 9pm Eastern.

TD

March 12, 2015

Greg Sankey selected to succeed Mike Slive as SEC Commissioner

Huh. I didn't even know Mike Slive was moving to Steve Guttenberg's boat. If you want reason number one why the SEC is whipping the other conference's collective tails at pretty much everything but nutty fan bases that are likely to set whole towns on fire, it is evidenced by 1) Mike Slive announcing in October that he will retire in July and no one has a fit over it, and 2) Greg Sankey gets named in the most anti-Jeremy Foley coaching search way, during the SEC Basketball Tournament.

For my money, I'd been happy with someone more colorful, like Spencer Hall, but Greg Sankey is a good hire, too.
TD

Dawgs to face winner of South Carolina-Ole Miss

The smart money says Ole Miss wins, which is good for UGA since we've handled Ole Miss this season.
We've lost two games to this guy though
Both teams offer challenges. Ole Miss is athletic and can get really hot in a hurry. South Carolina plays neanderthal slopball, which is designed to make Neme throw basketballs at the refs. Either way, we tip off in the latest game tomorrow night. I've checked the weather; no storms in Nashville.
TD

March 8, 2015

Georgia earns 3 seed in the SEC Tournament

Georgia finished the conference tied with LSU, A&M, and Ole Miss, but get the three seed based on the conference tiebreakers of record among the teams tied:

UGA 3-1
LSU 3-2
TAMU 2-2
Ole Miss 1-4

UGA will face either Ole Miss, Missouri, or South Carolina on Friday in the last game of the day.

TD

March 5, 2015

Updated SEC Tourney seeding scenarios for UGA

Yesterday, I laid out the general scenarios for UGA to get the double bye in the SEC basketball tournament. Last night, the first thing that needed to happen, did. LSU lost their game to Tennessee.

I wanted to give the pep band a bit more to work with in thinking about when to load up for Nashville. The outcomes are a bit more jumbled than I figured yesterday, as you'll see below

Remaining games of the four teams that are in play for positions 3, 4, 5, and 6:

Ole Miss (11-6) - Vandy (Sat, 9pm, SECNetwork)
Texas A&M (11-6) - Alabama (Sat, 2pm, ESPN3)
LSU (10-7) - @ Arkansas (Sat, 2pm, ESPN)
UGA (10-7) - @ Auburn (Sat, 4pm, SECNetwork)

Notes:

  • UGA has to beat Auburn on Saturday, otherwise we finish seeded sixth
  • UGA holds head to head tiebreakers over Ole Miss and TAMU
  • At least one of Texas A&M or Ole Miss have to lose for UGA to have a shot at the bye
  • It is much less clear cut if three or more teams are tied, according to the SEC tiebreaker protocol
  • LSU holds the head to head tiebreaker over UGA
  • I don't care about other scenarios that don't involve UGA (such as Ole Miss jumping Arkansas for third place)

  • LSU playing at Arkansas is a tough game for the Tigers, though Arkansas has their short turn round road game tonight against South Carolina, then are home for an early Saturday afternoon game. Who knows about those teams playing Alabama and Vandy. Right now, I have to think Ole Miss has the tougher game, but they are playing at 9pm at home. The huge upside is that Ole Miss' Spring Break starts Saturday, so that'll keep The Tad more quiet.

    Scenarios for seeding in tournament 

    UGA has to beat Auburn Saturday afternoon and needs at least one other team to lose to finish higher than sixth. I've applied the conference's tiebreakers to the scenarios below. Head to head applies with two teams; where 3 or more teams are tied, the conference looks at win % among the tied teams. Where that has happened, I've listed the records of the tied teams under each outcome.

    Everyone but UGA loses - UGA 3rd, Ole Miss 4th, TAMU 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA 3-0
    Ole Miss  1-2
    TAMU 0-2

    LSU wins, A&M and Ole Miss loses - UGA 3rd, LSU 4th, TAMU 5th, Ole Miss 6th
    UGA 3-1
    LSU 3-2
    TAMU 2-2
    Ole Miss 1-4

    Ole Miss wins, TAMU and LSU loses - Ole Miss 3rd, UGA 4th, TAMU 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA and TAMU end up tied. UGA seeded higher by virtue of UGA's head to head win over Aggies.

    A&M wins, Ole Miss and LSU loses - TAMU 3rd, UGA 4th, Ole Miss 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA and Ole Miss end up tied. UGA seeded higher by virtue of UGA's head to head wins over Rebel Bears

    LSU and Ole Miss wins, TAMU loses - Ole Miss 3rd, LSU 4th, TAMU 5th, UGA 6th
    LSU 3-0
    TAMU 2-1
    UGA 1-1

    LSU and TAMU wins, Ole Miss loses - TAMU 3rd, LSU 4th, UGA 5th, Ole Miss 6th
    LSU 3-0
    UGA 2-1
    Ole Miss 0-4

    Clearly, if Ole Miss and TAMU win, UGA cannot finish higher than 5th, depending on LSU's game. If everyone wins, UGA still finishes up 6th.

    TD
     
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