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March 20, 2015

Don't bet against NCAA tourney Tom Izzo

Hey, I laid out how we could win. I always thought we'd lose if we didn't hit the shots from the paint, especially layups.

I'm bummed we lost this game. We fought back against a better, more athletic team. We probably just missed another layup or put back.

Thanks to Neme, Marcus, and Taylor for being Damn Good Dawgs.
TD

March 16, 2015

Andy Landers has retired

This year has to have been one of the hardest of his career, with the injuries and promise that was lost due to them.

He ends his career with 944 total wins, 862 of them at UGA. He's taken teams to eight final fours, been in the Sweet 16 in 20 of his 36 season. We are one of only three programs to have never posted a losing season in women's basketball since it became an NCAA sport.

Georgia Sports Blog thanks Coach Landers for all he's done for UGA athletics. He's a Damn Good Dawg that has given his heart and soul to the Bulldogs.

TD

March 15, 2015

UGA gets 10 seed; to face Michigan State in Charlotte

This morning, I pondered us getting a ten seed, noting the upside of us matching up with a seven seed that isn't that much better with us. The one thing I didn't note is that if they underseed that seven....

Which it sure looks like they did. Michigan State finished the B1.5G as the third a conference with seven teams that made the field, and too one seed Wisconsin to OT in the B1.5G championship. To give you an idea, North Carolina and Georgetown both had similar records, RPI profiles, and good wins/bad losses, but are seeded 4th. Our records look the same, both in conference and out of conference, but two things stand way out about Michigan State vis a vis Georgia: how well they've played the past month (7-3, with two of those losses coming to Wisconsin) and how much better their wins look (four over top 50 RPI, including three in those past ten games.

That doesn't mean UGA is doomed, but it does mean we have a much tougher 7 seed in Michigan State than say Iowa or VCU.

UGA faces Michigan State 12:40pm Friday on TruTV.

TD

Dawgs lose to Arky; NCAA Tournament thoughts

Let's get the bad news out of the way, Georgia lost to Arkansas, and badly,  yesterday in the SEC Tournament. We were intentionally playing short handed to get healthy for the NCAA Tournament.

The good news is that we are absolutely in the tournament. I don't see any way Mark Fox would have rested players unless he knew we were already in. So now it's just a question of what seed we will be and where we will be placed.

The tough part is several folks have us last four in, meaning there's a chance we will play in Dayton in a play in game against another 11 seed. For my money, I think we end up at 10 seed.

And I'd much rather be in at 10 rather than at 8 or 9. Your first round game is a 7 seed, which usually means you are likely to play a team that is evenly matched up with you. The other reason is if you win that game, you likely face a two seed in the second round. As an 8/9, you are guaranteed to face a one seed.

The last thing to think about is placement. With Charlotte Jacksonville, and Louisville on the table, Georgia has some pretty good options to get fans, or strong rooting interests, at their site. The best case scenario would be somewhere like Charlotte with Duke as Duke fans will come and root for any underdog. UK fans in Louisville will root for the other SEC teams.

Worst case scenario is Dayton for the play in, then having to play in Seattle in the early game Friday. We'll worry about that after selection, which will be aired at 6pm tonight on CBS.

TD

March 14, 2015

Dawgs down USCe

Strong games from Thornton and Maten lead us to victory over South Carolina (finally). Arkansas is next at 3pm.

The Razorbacks go on stretches where they get cold. We have to play strong perimeter defense and watch the back door cuts, as well as hit free throws, to win. This is a winnable game. Win it and we could slip up to a seven seed in the NCAA Tournament.

ESPN has the game.
TD

March 13, 2015

Dawgs to face South Carolina tonight

Here's hoping the officials hate rugby disguised as basketball as much as I do. We have the latest tip tonight, sometime after 9pm Eastern.

TD

March 12, 2015

Greg Sankey selected to succeed Mike Slive as SEC Commissioner

Huh. I didn't even know Mike Slive was moving to Steve Guttenberg's boat. If you want reason number one why the SEC is whipping the other conference's collective tails at pretty much everything but nutty fan bases that are likely to set whole towns on fire, it is evidenced by 1) Mike Slive announcing in October that he will retire in July and no one has a fit over it, and 2) Greg Sankey gets named in the most anti-Jeremy Foley coaching search way, during the SEC Basketball Tournament.

For my money, I'd been happy with someone more colorful, like Spencer Hall, but Greg Sankey is a good hire, too.
TD

Dawgs to face winner of South Carolina-Ole Miss

The smart money says Ole Miss wins, which is good for UGA since we've handled Ole Miss this season.
We've lost two games to this guy though
Both teams offer challenges. Ole Miss is athletic and can get really hot in a hurry. South Carolina plays neanderthal slopball, which is designed to make Neme throw basketballs at the refs. Either way, we tip off in the latest game tomorrow night. I've checked the weather; no storms in Nashville.
TD

March 8, 2015

Georgia earns 3 seed in the SEC Tournament

Georgia finished the conference tied with LSU, A&M, and Ole Miss, but get the three seed based on the conference tiebreakers of record among the teams tied:

UGA 3-1
LSU 3-2
TAMU 2-2
Ole Miss 1-4

UGA will face either Ole Miss, Missouri, or South Carolina on Friday in the last game of the day.

TD

March 5, 2015

Updated SEC Tourney seeding scenarios for UGA

Yesterday, I laid out the general scenarios for UGA to get the double bye in the SEC basketball tournament. Last night, the first thing that needed to happen, did. LSU lost their game to Tennessee.

I wanted to give the pep band a bit more to work with in thinking about when to load up for Nashville. The outcomes are a bit more jumbled than I figured yesterday, as you'll see below

Remaining games of the four teams that are in play for positions 3, 4, 5, and 6:

Ole Miss (11-6) - Vandy (Sat, 9pm, SECNetwork)
Texas A&M (11-6) - Alabama (Sat, 2pm, ESPN3)
LSU (10-7) - @ Arkansas (Sat, 2pm, ESPN)
UGA (10-7) - @ Auburn (Sat, 4pm, SECNetwork)

Notes:

  • UGA has to beat Auburn on Saturday, otherwise we finish seeded sixth
  • UGA holds head to head tiebreakers over Ole Miss and TAMU
  • At least one of Texas A&M or Ole Miss have to lose for UGA to have a shot at the bye
  • It is much less clear cut if three or more teams are tied, according to the SEC tiebreaker protocol
  • LSU holds the head to head tiebreaker over UGA
  • I don't care about other scenarios that don't involve UGA (such as Ole Miss jumping Arkansas for third place)

  • LSU playing at Arkansas is a tough game for the Tigers, though Arkansas has their short turn round road game tonight against South Carolina, then are home for an early Saturday afternoon game. Who knows about those teams playing Alabama and Vandy. Right now, I have to think Ole Miss has the tougher game, but they are playing at 9pm at home. The huge upside is that Ole Miss' Spring Break starts Saturday, so that'll keep The Tad more quiet.

    Scenarios for seeding in tournament 

    UGA has to beat Auburn Saturday afternoon and needs at least one other team to lose to finish higher than sixth. I've applied the conference's tiebreakers to the scenarios below. Head to head applies with two teams; where 3 or more teams are tied, the conference looks at win % among the tied teams. Where that has happened, I've listed the records of the tied teams under each outcome.

    Everyone but UGA loses - UGA 3rd, Ole Miss 4th, TAMU 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA 3-0
    Ole Miss  1-2
    TAMU 0-2

    LSU wins, A&M and Ole Miss loses - UGA 3rd, LSU 4th, TAMU 5th, Ole Miss 6th
    UGA 3-1
    LSU 3-2
    TAMU 2-2
    Ole Miss 1-4

    Ole Miss wins, TAMU and LSU loses - Ole Miss 3rd, UGA 4th, TAMU 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA and TAMU end up tied. UGA seeded higher by virtue of UGA's head to head win over Aggies.

    A&M wins, Ole Miss and LSU loses - TAMU 3rd, UGA 4th, Ole Miss 5th, LSU 6th
    UGA and Ole Miss end up tied. UGA seeded higher by virtue of UGA's head to head wins over Rebel Bears

    LSU and Ole Miss wins, TAMU loses - Ole Miss 3rd, LSU 4th, TAMU 5th, UGA 6th
    LSU 3-0
    TAMU 2-1
    UGA 1-1

    LSU and TAMU wins, Ole Miss loses - TAMU 3rd, LSU 4th, UGA 5th, Ole Miss 6th
    LSU 3-0
    UGA 2-1
    Ole Miss 0-4

    Clearly, if Ole Miss and TAMU win, UGA cannot finish higher than 5th, depending on LSU's game. If everyone wins, UGA still finishes up 6th.

    TD

    March 4, 2015

    Fox signed his extension

    Nice work, Westerdawg.
    TD

    SEC basketball tournament scenarios

    The SEC men's tournament in Nashville tips off a week from today.  The good news is UGA will definitely not play until at least Thursday. The possibility of a double bye to Friday is still on the table.

    Schedule (my apologies for the formatting):

    DATETIME (CT)TVGAME
    FIRST ROUND: Wednesday, March 116 p.m.SEC NetworkGame 1 - Seed #12 vs. Seed #13
    SEC NetworkGame 2 - Seed #11 vs. Seed #14
    SECOND ROUND: Thursday, March 12NoonSEC NetworkGame 3 - Seed #8 vs. Seed #9
    SEC NetworkGame 4 - Seed #5 vs. Game 1 winner
    6 p.m.SEC NetworkGame 5 - Seed #10 vs. Seed #7
    SEC NetworkGame 6 - Seed #6 vs. Game 2 winner
    THIRD ROUND: Friday, March 13NoonSEC NetworkGame 7 - Seed #1 vs. Game 3 winner
    SEC NetworkGame 8 - Seed #4 vs. Game 4 winner
    6 p.m.SEC NetworkGame 9 - Seed #2 vs. Game 5 winner
    SEC NetworkGame 10 - Seed #3 vs. Game 6 winner
    SEMIFINALS: Saturday, March 14NoonESPNGame 11 - Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner
    ESPNGame 12 - Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner
    FINALS: Sunday, March 15NoonESPNGame 13 - Game 11 winner vs. Game 12 winner
    Looking at the tiebreakers, UGA can finish has high as third (with a win over Auburn, and losses by A&M, Ole Miss, plus two by LSU). UGA can finish as low as sixth. Since LSU holds the tie breaker over the Dawgs, we need them to loose both of their remaining games (vs. Tenn tonight and at Arkansas Saturday), AND have either A&M or Ole Miss lose one to get to at least fourth place and the double bye.
    TD

    Two best games of the season: Georgia vs. Kentucky

    If you didn't watch the Georgia-Kentucky game last night, you missed two very important things:
    1. You saw Mark Fox at his best as a coach. He was one step ahead of Kentucky all night. Yes, John Calipari is a terrible in game coach. Yes, he relies on having 8+ guys on his team that would start for every other basketball program in the country. Yes, they are all really 6'7" and over. Still, you have to coach your team to over come the massive differential in Joes. Mark Fox nearly did.
    2. You saw what Stegeman could be. You think we lose to Tech, LSU or Auburn (or maybe even South Carolina) at home with that kind of atmosphere? No way. We shouldn't have to have the number one team in the nation in Athens to have 2,500 of the 35,000 students on campus, plus another 6-8K show up for games against those teams.
    Georgia showed we have what it takes to play the kind of basketball it takes to win a game or two in Atlanta and in the NCAA tourney. We also showed we are capable, due mainly to free throw shooting, of blowing a lead to a team they've stood toe to toe with all night. That is a recurring nightmare, and one that will keep Georgia from advancing much farther than than a game or two.

    One other thing to note. UK doesn't play that slop grab and grind down low basketball that other SEC teams play, and SEC officials allow to happen. That is a benefit to UGA, especially once we get out of SEC play. There are other teams that do play that style around the country, but the SEC is full of those teams. As we've seen, that is the best way to stop UGA's offense.

    The good news is losing at home to the number one RPI team doesn't hurt RPI much. The better news is that Georgia showed that we are a tournament team. Hopefully, we won't go and ruin it by losing to Auburn and whomever we draw in the first round of the SEC tournament.
    TD

    SEC Media Days

    The SEC is really good at this. Right at the start of spring practices, announce your media days schedule. Get those not focused on your (much improved) basketball league on football. Wash. Rinse. Repeat.

    Full Schedule:
    2015 SEC FOOTBALL MEDIA DAYS SCHEDULE

    MONDAY, July 13
    SEC Commissioner
    Auburn - Gus Malzahn
    Florida - Jim McElwain
    Vanderbilt - Derek Mason

    TUESDAY, July 14
    SEC Coordinator of Football Officials Steve Shaw
    South Carolina - Steve Spurrier
    Texas A&M - Kevin Sumlin
    Miss. State - Dan Mullen
    Tennessee - Butch Jones

    WEDNESDAY, July 15
    Alabama - Nick Saban
    Kentucky - Mark Stoops
    Arkansas - Bret Bielema
    Missouri - Gary Pinkel

    THURSDAY, July 16
    LSU - Les Miles
    Georgia - Mark Richt
    Ole Miss - Hugh Freeze

    Boy, Tuesday morning is going to be fun.
    TD

    March 2, 2015

    Chris Conley gets it

    Man, the list of DGD's in Bulldog Nation is pretty long, but Conley might well have the best seat in the house. He asked Chip Tower's at AJC to publish a letter to Bulldog Naiton. You can read Chip's whole article here.

    The full text of the letter as reprinted from the above linked AJC article:
    Dear Bulldog Nation,
    Where do I begin? Before I was officially a Bulldog, I received support from the fans and the Bulldog Nation. Many of you extended kind words at basketball games or during my visits on campus on game days to make me feel comfortable and at home. Thank you all for the support and the encouragement during good times and even in the bad. The “True Dawgs” who bleed red and black have been a source of strength and were truly a part of my support system throughout my tenure at Georgia.
    Coach Richt, thank you for giving me the opportunity to play college football. As some may know, Georgia was my first offer, and although I may had gotten other offers later, Georgia’s early offer when I had just completed my second season of football (ever), gave me confidence that I could play this game. You were a constant support throughout my time at UGA. I know you take a great deal of heat for many things, but I am thankful for the coach that you are and even more so for the man that you are. You are a true builder of men and a damn good football coach. I am thankful that you and Coach Ball saw enough in me to allow a raw, lanky, clumsy kid the chance to play the game he loves and grow.
    My current transition into the real world has been surreal and abrupt in some instances. I am adjusting to not being in the locker room around the boys or going to the same workouts. I will forever be indebted to Georgia for the work ethic and attitude that was sharpened during my time in Athens. I will always be a part of the the Dawg Nation and always hope to represent the “G” with pride. I may be in a different city or state in the coming months but a part of my heart will always remain in Athens, between the hedges.
    People joke that I will one day be a politician because of the way I speak, the way I interact with everyone, or how I like to bring people together. I don’t hope to one day hold one of those positions, but rather I would like to set an example that we as people should have a goal to unite families, neighborhoods, and cities for the well-being of our state and then our country. Call me an idealist but I believe that all it takes for change to take root is a willing participant and the faith that it will happen. That same willingness and faith is what allowed a 2-3 star recruit to defy the odds and contribute at the greatest school in the country. Let us be the change we want to see in our homes, cities, and state. I am standing with you all.
    I’m done giving my inspirational pep talk now. So, if you see me around Athens, Atlanta or anywhere else, don’t be afraid to reach out and speak with me. I hope to continue to be active in these communities because they are where I call home. In my brief time in Athens, I hope I have inspired someone to chase his dreams, to work a little harder or dream a little bigger. If my example has reached just one person and encouraged him to be better, I have accomplished so much more than I deserve.
    Thank you all. God Bless and Go Dawgs!
    Chris Conley
     
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